2024 Election Forecast Model. In the analysis that follows, we describe our election model, discuss the results, and assess the sensitivity of the model’s results to our forecasts and assumptions. So, who’s gonna win the election?
Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall Presidential election in a row, a northwestern university data scientist is running a novel forecasting platform that updates the odds of a win.